How many hurricanes in the Atlantic in 2024?
Mini
30
Ṁ11k
Jan 1
16%
0-6
61%
7-10
14%
11-13
3%
14-15
3%
16-17
2%
18-20
1%
21-24
0.3%
25 or more

The number of hurricanes in the Atlantic in 2024 as determined by NOAA.

Climate️ WeatherExtreme WeatherNatural Disasters2024 Hurricane SeasonGlobal WarmingClimate changeHurricanesTropical StormsAtlantic Hurricane Season
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
6 Comments
Sort by:
bought Ṁ15 14-15 YES

https://tropical.colostate.edu/Forecast/2024-08.pdf

Betting referencing fig 17

bought Ṁ50 11-13 YES

https://www.noaa.gov/news-release/noaa-predicts-above-normal-2024-atlantic-hurricane-season

Above normal = 8-13 hurricanes. This market seems miscalibrated.

@TimothyJohnson5c16 Also, the highest count ever was 15 hurricanes in 2005. Most years are in single digits.

bought Ṁ3 21-24 YES

https://bsky.app/profile/supak.bsky.social/post/3kstz5p2vpb2b

Scott Supak (@supak.bsky.social)
Potential Alberto.
bought Ṁ20 11-13 YES

@ScottSupak Please don't tell me you're forecasting using hour 384 of the GFS...

@SaviorofPlant Forecasting? Well, no... but this is the first thing to pop up that's got a chance, so, it's worth noting.

Related questions