What will the minimum Arctic sea ice daily extent be in 2024?
12
Ṁ11kOct 15
1D
1W
1M
ALL
4%
Less than 4.0 million km^2
1%
Less than 3.25 million km^2
1%
Less than 3.75 million km^2
Resolved
YESLess than 4.5 million km^2
Resolved
YESLess than 5 million km^2
Resolved
YESLess than 4.75 million km^2
Resolved
YESLess than 4.25 million km^2
Market settles based on the minimum daily Arctic sea ice extent as determined by the National Snow and Ice Data Center in the data as it appears here:
https://masie_web.apps.nsidc.org/pub/DATASETS/NOAA/G02135/north/daily/data/N_seaice_extent_daily_v3.0.csv
The minimum is usually reached in mid-September. The market will be settled ASAP after the NSIDC makes the call.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Pan-Arctic September 2024 sea-ice extent
(M5000 subsidy) Will the Arctic sea ice fully melt before the year 2050?
65% chance
Will the Arctic be ice-free in summer by the year 2050?
80% chance
Will the Antarctic sea ice extent reach at least 25 million square kilometers at least once this century?
15% chance
When will the Antarctic sea ice extent fall below 1 million square kilometers for the first time?
When will the Antarctic sea ice reach nearly zero before 2100?
69% chance
What will be the mean annual CO2 level in 2024?
424
Minimum Antarctic sea ice extent this century? (in square kilometers)
920k
Will the arctic be ice-free for any period of time ("blue ocean event") before summer 2026?
5% chance
Will the north pole be ice free by 2030?
13% chance