Will Azerbaijan control the Zangezur Corridor by EOY 2024?
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resolved Jan 9
Resolved
NO

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zangezur_corridor

If Azerbaijan controls it at any time by 12/31/2024, this will resolve yes, even if Armenia later takes it back.

As I would like to bet in this market, in the event of controversy, I will consult several trustworthy-ish users to determine the resolution.

GeopoliticsGlobal MacroAzerbaijanArmenia
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Can resolve now

Would Turkish control count?

predicted NO

@mariopasquato No

@SemioticRivalry Great, and by “control” you mean troops from Azerbaijan must be stationed along the route?

predicted NO

@mariopasquato That would most likely be the result, though it is plausible that they gain control via negotiation and it remains demilitarized, which would also count as yes. As long as Azerbaijan administers the area I will count it.

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