Will there be serious AI safety drama at Meta AI before 2026?
27
Ṁ6252026
59%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
AI safety meaning AI not killeveryoneism, not racism/bad words etc.
The drama has to be at least somewhat public facing.
The qualification of 'serious' will be in my judgment. I won't place any bets.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Sort by:
@SemioticRivalry Does the drama need to be internal? Like alternatively it could be that some external entity tell meta folks to do AI safety a certain way and they object publicly in a dramaful way
@Bayesian preferably internal, or if external it would have to be a significant news story, like would my parents have heard about it
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be serious AI safety drama at Google or Deepmind before 2026?
60% chance
Will there be a coherent AI safety movement with leaders and an agenda in May 2029?
76% chance
Will Meta AI start an AGI alignment team before 2026?
35% chance
Will AI xrisk seem to be handled seriously by the end of 2026?
26% chance
Will Meta kill off its AI characters in 2024?
32% chance
Will someone commit terrorism against an AI lab by the end of 2025 for AI-safety related reasons?
23% chance
Will there be a significant AI safety incident involving OpenAI o1 before April 2025?
16% chance
Will OpenAI become notably less pro AI safety by start of 2025 than at the start of 2024?
62% chance
Will OpenAI be involved in a major scandal before 2025?
49% chance
Will a serious incident caused by AI happen that causes a severe public backlash (akin to Nuclear Fission) by 2040?
66% chance