https://www.theverge.com/openai/648130/openai-social-network-x-competitor

Resolution criteria:

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI publicly launches a social media network by January 1, 2028. A "social media network" is defined as an online platform that enables users to create, share, and interact with content and other users. The launch must be publicly announced and accessible to the general public. If no such launch occurs by the specified date, the market will resolve to "No."

Background:

As of April 2025, reports indicate that OpenAI is developing a social media platform similar to X (formerly Twitter). An internal prototype focuses on ChatGPT's image generation capabilities and includes a social feed. The project is in early stages, and it's unclear whether it will be a standalone app or integrated into ChatGPT. OpenAI CEO Sam Altman has been seeking external feedback on the concept. (reuters.com)

This initiative could heighten tensions with Elon Musk, X's owner and OpenAI co-founder, who left the company in 2018. Recently, Musk made a failed $97.4 billion bid to take over OpenAI and previously sued the company, alleging it strayed from its mission to develop beneficial AI. OpenAI has counter-sued Musk, claiming harassment and attempts to obstruct its transition to a for-profit model; the dispute is headed to a jury trial next year. (reuters.com)

Additionally, this move might position OpenAI in direct competition with Meta, which is also working on an AI-driven social platform. Both Meta and X leverage extensive user data from their platforms to train AI models, raising the stakes in the generative AI space. (reuters.com)

In May 2024, OpenAI partnered with Reddit to integrate Reddit's content into ChatGPT. This agreement granted OpenAI access to Reddit's data API, providing real-time and structured content. Reddit users and moderators would benefit from new AI-powered features, and OpenAI became a Reddit advertising partner. (apnews.com)

These developments suggest OpenAI's growing interest in the social media domain, potentially leading to the launch of its own platform by January 2028.

• Update 2025-04-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Acquisition as Launch Clarification

  • Buying an existing site counts as a valid method for OpenAI to launch a social media network, as long as the platform is publicly announced and made accessible to the general public.