MANIFOLD
BrowseUS ElectionNewsAbout
Will Saudi Arabia build a structure at least 100m x 100m x 1000m before 2040
โž•
Plus
26
แน€6623
2040
70%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL

Based on Scott's prediction here: https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/model-city-monday-8122?r=f8jeq&s=r&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web

WorldACX
Get แน€1,000 play money
2 Comments
Sort by:

Construction updates: https://www.resortx.com/neom---the-line/

It seems a lot less probable than 8%, I'd think.

Related questions

Will even 500m of Saudi Arabia's "The Line" project be built until 2030?
40% chance
Will Saudi Arabia truly complete the line city project by 2030
8% chance
Will there be a so-called "nuclear Saudi Arabia" by 2050?
16% chance
Will a crossing of the Gulf of Aqaba between the Egypt and Saudi Arabia have started construction by 2035?
19% chance
Will Saudi Arabia join the Shanghai Cooperation Organization by the end of 2030?
54% chance
Will Neom (The Line city, Saudi Arabia) build at least 1km in 2025?
10% chance
Will more than 100,000 people live in a line-shaped city in Saudi Arabia in 2035? eg The Line
26% chance
Will there be a Tesla factory in Saudi Arabia before 2030?
12% chance
Will Saudi Arabia have nuclear weapons by 2030?
50% chance
Will Saudi Arabia obtain nuclear weapon(s) by 2035?
39% chance

Related questions

Will even 500m of Saudi Arabia's "The Line" project be built until 2030?
40% chance
Will Neom (The Line city, Saudi Arabia) build at least 1km in 2025?
10% chance
Will Saudi Arabia truly complete the line city project by 2030
8% chance
Will more than 100,000 people live in a line-shaped city in Saudi Arabia in 2035? eg The Line
26% chance
Will there be a so-called "nuclear Saudi Arabia" by 2050?
16% chance
Will there be a Tesla factory in Saudi Arabia before 2030?
12% chance
Will a crossing of the Gulf of Aqaba between the Egypt and Saudi Arabia have started construction by 2035?
19% chance
Will Saudi Arabia have nuclear weapons by 2030?
50% chance
Will Saudi Arabia join the Shanghai Cooperation Organization by the end of 2030?
54% chance
Will Saudi Arabia obtain nuclear weapon(s) by 2035?
39% chance
BrowseElectionNewsAbout