President Trump announced on Truth Social that he will meet with NYC Mayor-Elect Zohran Mamdani at the White House on Friday, November 21st. What will result from this meeting?
Answers will resolve based on reporting from any reputable U.S. new source (e.g. NYT) for factual questions and a Manifold poll for more subjective questions. Trump social media posts will not be enough to prove that something has occurred (must be backed up by credible reporting).
This market will resolve based on what has occurred by the end of 2025.
Update 2025-11-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the answer "Trump deploys ICE in NYC": This would require a large-scale ICE operation in NYC (similar to operations in Charlotte, Chicago, LA, etc.) that occurs after the meeting.
Update 2025-11-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Subjective questions will be resolved based on a Manifold poll that will resolve YES/NO (not to a percent).
Update 2025-11-22 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Polls for subjective questions "Trump does nothing to spite Mamdani" and "Trump gets Excited About Buses" have been opened at: https://manifold.markets/SolarFlare/trump-did-nothing-to-spite-mamdani
Update 2025-11-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the answer "Mamdani compliments Trump": The creator considers Mamdani's statement "And what I really appreciate about the president is that the meeting that we had focused not on places of disagreement, which there are many, and also focused on the shared purpose that we have in serving New Yorkers" to be a compliment. The creator has offered to unresolve and open a poll if this is considered too subjective.
Update 2025-11-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the answer "Mamdani compliments Trump": The creator will unresolve this answer and resolve it based on a Manifold poll instead of their initial judgment.
Update 2025-11-26 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the answer "Mamdani compliments Trump": This will be resolved based on a Manifold poll at https://manifold.markets/SolarFlare/did-mamdani-compliment-trump-during (not based on the creator's initial judgment).
Is anyone able to resolve that market? https://manifold.markets/AffineTyped/gemini-3-google-release-no-double-s?r=TXlEcmVhbUlzSGVyZTIwMTg
please resolve "Mamdani compliments Trump" with
NO
@OKanon If you watch the videos of how Mamdani and Trump met on Friday, November 21, it’s clear that there was no praising of Trump. Mamdani is clearly NOT in Epshteyn list, so he will survive that storm
@AlvaLindqvist Mamdani had not complimented Trump. Please resolve No. Check the market
@1bets I agree than Mamdani was generally more polite than actively complimenting Trump, but the line I think is a compliment is "And what I really appreciate about the president is that the meeting that we had focused not on places of disagreement, which there are many, and also focused on the shared purpose that we have in serving New Yorkers." https://youtu.be/nDanzN1EUeE?t=208 If you think this is too subjective, I can unresolve it and open a poll.
@SolarFlare I didn’t bet on that option and personally I’d say this isn’t really a compliment. Something like, “the president has a great mind and lots of insight on how to help serve New Yorkers” would be but “I appreciate that the president didn’t actively shit himself metaphorically or physically for the length of our meeting about how to serve New Yorkers” would not be. I think Mamdani’s phrasing exactly on the line of total neutrality, he emphasizes their disagreement but is thankful Trump didn’t tantrum.
@JasonQ yeah, my line would be 'I appreciate he didnt mess this up' is not really a compliment, but, eh.
@mods Could you help unresolve this question? I will resolve it based on a poll instead given the feedback.
I opened polls for "Trump does nothing to spite Mamdani" and "Trump gets Excited About Buses" here:
https://manifold.markets/SolarFlare/trump-did-nothing-to-spite-mamdani
https://manifold.markets/SolarFlare/did-trump-get-excited-about-buses-d
@FrederickNorris I've resolved all of the obvious ones and some of the subjective ones that I am pretty confident in (ex: Trump complimenting Mamdani). I will put out a poll within a day for the other subjective questions (which will resolve YES/NO, not to a percent). Please let me know if you disagree with any of the resolutions and why.
@SolarFlare I watched all the videos. Mamdani appreciated that meeting was well and appreciated - just polite - without compliments