This market will resolve when the current conflict between Israel and Hamas ceases and remains stable for at least 7 days without indication of re-igniting. The market resolves YES if any agreement (cease-fire, peace treaty, surrender terms, etc) which plays a major role in ending the conflict is lead by or organized by the United States. It resolves NO if the war ends (with 7 days stable) in any other way.

As reported by major international news. I will not bet in this market.

• Update 2025-11-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified that despite the current ceasefire holding for 7 days, they do not consider the situation stable yet. The market will not resolve until the creator determines the situation is truly stable, which may require waiting beyond just the 7-day ceasefire period. The creator will also consider other Gaza conflict markets as indicators of whether peace is holding before resolving.