Will Dwayne Johnson run in the next US presidential election?
30
Ṁ1522Nov 30
5%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If he makes a bid for the presidency either for a party or as an independent.
This is about making any sort of bid - even if he ultimately fails to get on the ballot.
Will resolve YES only when there is an official statement from Johnson saying he will run.
https://www.dwayneforpresident.com/
Close date updated to 2024-11-30 11:59 pm
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Sort by:
So we're saying he has a ~20% chance of winning if he runs? https://manifold.markets/Mosiah/will-dwayne-johnson-win-the-2024-us
Related questions
Related questions
If Joe Biden is not the DNC candidate for the US presidential election, will Donald Trump be the next US President?
47% chance
Will "The Rock" Dwayne Johnson run for the Senate or the House of Representatives before 2050?
20% chance
Will Joe Biden literally run in 2024?
28% chance
Will Dwayne Johnson win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
1% chance
Will JD Vance be US vice president on January 1st 2029?
38% chance
During which election will Dwayne “The Rock” Johnson next run for President of the United States?
If Trump loses the 2024 election, will his son Donald Trump Jr run for any public office before the end of 2028?
47% chance
Will JD Vance be nominated for President for the 2028 US Presidential Election?
24% chance
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
19% chance
Will Donald Trump be elected US president (if he is running against Joe Biden)?
55% chance