NFL Week 3 - Prop Bets

Ṁ10k

Jan 4

ALL

99%

A 4th and 10+ is converted

72%

Any team scores 40+ points

71%

A Pick Six

70%

The Panthers, Broncos, Giants, or the Pats win

69%

A QB has at least 2 turnovers and at least 2 TDs (including passing)

69%

A Rookie records 100 yards receiving

67%

Any player scores 3 TDs in a game (non-passing)

64%

Player flips into the end-zone as a celebration

64%

Running backs score more (rushing+receiving) TDs than Wide receivers (rushing+receiving) TDs

63%

Highest Scoring Game of the Season (so far)* https://tinyurl.com/highestgame

63%

A team scores at least 24 points before halftime

57%

Caleb Williams Wins

57%

Hip Drop Tackle penalty called during any game

55%

70+ Yard Score

53%

Taylor Swift in Attendance to Any Game

53%

Quarterback throws at least 4 Touchdowns in a game

52%

Any player throws for more than 300 yards and loses

52%

At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose

52%

Any 7+ point Underdog wins*

50%

Score as time expires in the 4th Quarter/OT (tying or go-ahead)

2024-25 NFL Season - Week 3

*** Asterisk Prop Clarifications

At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose
- Favorite based on DraftKings closing line
Any 7+ point Underdog wins
- Based on closing DraftKings lines
A Starting QB gets a likely Season Ending Injury
- If consensus the next week is that the player will be out for the season
- Will lean towards "YES" (i.e. if the vibe is the player is 75/25 I will resolve YES)
- Based on my subjective opinion (but feel free to give input)
Fake Punt Attempt
- If a team lines up in punt formation and then snaps the ball with the intention to gain the first down instead of punting
Quarterback gets benched in the middle of a game
- The quarterback that started the game is removed due to neither an injury, nor due to a blowout
- Subjective judgement will be used, but generally these fulfilling these three criteria will be required for 99% of cases
  - No Injury
  - If it is the 4th quarter then the game has to be within 16 points (2 possessions)
  - Its not clear that the QB removed from the game will start the next game
Any Double Digit Underdog Wins
- Resolves NO if there are no Double Digit Underdogs

Add your own props related to Week Two (if it is super specific be prepared to help me find an answer). Answers should be able to be resolved by about a Week after Week Two finishes, but not later than that.