If Trump wins, will any country enact economic sanctions against the U.S. by the 2026 midterms?
If Trump wins, will any country enact economic sanctions against the U.S. by the 2026 midterms?
➕
Plus
16
Ṁ385
2026
61%
chance

Must:

  • qualify to be listed here

  • happen between the election and the 2026 midterms

Multiple countries, or super-national entities such as the European Union, enacting sanctions against the U.S. also qualify.

Resolves N/A if Trump doesn't win the 2024 presidential election.

Compare

If Biden wins, will any country enact economic sanctions against the U.S. by the 2026 midterms?N/A‌

️ Politics🇺🇸 US PoliticsTrumpEconomics
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
1 Comment
16 Holders
19 Trades


Sort by:
1y

adjusting end date by a couple months to target the midterms according to the prompt

What is this?

What is Manifold?
Manifold is a social prediction market with real-time odds on wide ranging news such as politics, tech, sports and more!
Participate for free in sweepstakes markets to win sweepcash which can be withdrawn for real money!
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why should I trade?
Trading contributes to accurate answers of important, real-world questions and helps you stay more accountable as you make predictions.
Trade with S Sweepcash (𝕊) for a chance to win withdrawable cash prizes.
Get started for free! No credit card required.
What are sweepstakes markets?
There are two types of markets on Manifold: play money and sweepstakes.
By default all markets are play money and use mana. These markets allow you to win more mana but do not award any prizes which can be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and allow winners to withdraw any sweepcash won to real money.
As play money and sweepstakes markets are independent of each other, they may have different odds even though they share the same question and comments.
Learn more.

Related questions