Will the US and Iran go to war by end 2024?
31
แน2744Jan 1
9%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
US sends more fighter jets and warship to Gulf after Iran attempts to seize tankers
Resolves YES if, by the end of 2024, either nation formally declares war, if either nation invades and occupies the other's undisputed sovereign territory with military forces, or if de-facto war breaks out in the form of multiple skirmishes. Otherwise, resolves NO.
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