MANIFOLD
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Will MIRI run an end-of-year fundraiser in 2026?
3
Ṁ51
2026
63%
chance
1D
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AIMachine Intelligence Research Institute
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bought Ṁ30 YES

gpt-5.2-pro gives me 65% on this one: https://imgur.com/a/fOclfvL

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7% chance
How will MIRI allocate funding between its program areas in 2025?
Will I have a research position at MIRI by 2025?
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Will Manifold implement some kind of charity program before 2026?
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Will MIRI receive more than 1 billion USD in funding in a single year before 2030?
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