What will be my all-time mana profit at the end of 2024?
Mini
12
แน€330
resolved Jan 2
Resolved
19,500-20,000

Get แน€1,000 play money

๐Ÿ… Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1แน€142
2แน€13
3แน€9
4แน€0
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Managed to get a higher profit than the upper bound on this market, so resolving to the largest interval

@traders Somehow there was a huge loss spike yesterday but I have no idea what caused it, it doesn't seem to be shown in my trades tab sorted by 1d or 1w loss, does anyone know how I can figure it out?

Bug that is now fixed

reposted

@traders Mid-June update, adjust your shares accordingly ๐Ÿ“ˆ ๐Ÿค‘

sold แน€0 2000-2500 YES

@nikki I appreciate your enthusiasm but care to explain the large bet on extreme profits? ๐Ÿ˜…

The gaussian curve is ruined ๐Ÿ˜ฅ

reposted

My current small bet centered on 8000 mana is based on the assumption my growth will remain approximately linear, if you think it will become exponential, bet it up, if you think I'll suffer sudden huge losses like so many others or become much less active, bet it down, even if you agree with my guess, there's positive expected value in smoothing out the distribution to a Gaussian :)