On January 1 2024, Ethiopia signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) with Somaliland that is supposed to lead to a formal agreement that will include Ethiopia formally recognizing Somaliland in return for leasing 20 km of coastline to Ethiopia. Somaliland reclaimed its independence in 1991, but has not been recognized by any other nation.
This question will be resolved according to formal recognition; intent to recognize or implied recognition will not count.
In the interest of full transparency, I intend to post whenever a UN-member country officially recognizes Somaliland (SL), so there will be no doubt about how this question is being scored.
As of today, zero countries officially recognize SL in an explicit and unambiguous manner according to the resolution criteria. Taiwan’s relationship with SL will not be counted because Taipei does not have a seat at the UN.
I may bet on this market.