Will more people vote for Kamala Harris in the 2024 Presidential election than voted for Donald Trump in 2020?
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116
Ṁ56k
Nov 22
94%
chance

Dave Leip's numbers will be used for resolution. According to Dave Leip, 74,225,926 people voted for Donald Trump in the 2020 Presidential election.

If more than 74,225,926 people vote for Kamala Harris in the 2024 Presidential election, this market will resolve YES.

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Literally wtf happened with this market? Free mana.

@benshindel people forgot california existed

i eyeballed it ngl

@Tripping nah, for a little while on election night, turnout really seemed lower than expected. This combined with Harris's apparently abysmal performance made people (myself included) think that she couldn't possibly beat Trump 2020 votes.

@benshindel Wish I was paying attention when this market got under 10%...hello?

@SentientTree @benshindel nah, you can make more profits at this prob, come to the dark side : )

@3d well there’s also that. It will be surprisingly close.