The General Social Survey (GSS) routinely asks Americans the following question:
On the average Black people have worse jobs, income, and housing than white people. Do you think these differences are . . . A. Mainly due to discrimination?
In the 2026 survey, will the survey results show a majority of opinions answering "Yes"? (That is, more "Yes" answers than "No" answers, ignoring "Don't know" responses.)
See this chart for results in prior years.
I will not bet on this market.
Update 2025-06-27 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified that this market will resolve based on the General Social Survey (GSS) results for all respondents. An earlier version of the market description incorrectly linked to a chart showing results for non-black respondents.
@traders I'm very sorry, but in the market description, the link to the chart was initially directed at the chart for non-black respondents, instead of the intended chart for all respondents. (The link is now fixed.)
If anyone lost mana due to this mistake, please message me and I'll refund the amount.
@UnspecifiedPerson Ok, so just so I understand, according to the chart, the only previous years where this would have been considered a majority of Yes was 2021 and 2022?