Will Elon Musk form his own national-level political party by the 2028 Presidential elections?
Mini
24
แน€1176
2028
48%
chance

Resolves YES upon evidence of successful qualification by the FEC advisory committee. https://www.fec.gov/help-candidates-and-committees/registering-political-party/

  • Update 2025-07-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has noted that due to the possibility of fake filings, any filing must be confirmed as legitimate before the market will resolve YES. This may cause a delay in resolution after a filing first appears.

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bought แน€25 YES

I'm in for a little bit of YES, FYI, but I think the resolution criteria are clear enough that shouldn't be problematic.

bought แน€100 NO

He cannot run for president guys

@Bayesian Unless there's a constitutional amendment, so factor that in to your assessment.