When will the US H5N1 human case count surpass 100?
8
Ṁ8402025
1D
1W
1M
ALL
35%
Before October 1st, 2024
62%
Before December 1st, 2024
72%
Before February 1st, 2025
Resolved
NOBefore August 1st, 2024
I will resolve this question based on the official CDC case count.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Sort by:
bought Ṁ50 Before October 1st, ... NO
The CDC reports 13 cases so far this year: https://www.cdc.gov/bird-flu/situation-summary/index.html
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be more than 10 laboratory-confirmed human deaths from H5N2 by the end of 2024?
31% chance
[Metaculus] Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of H5N1 globally before 2025?
19% chance
Will there be a large-scale bird flu outbreak in the US by the end of 2025?
50% chance
With the third human case of H5N1 Bird Flu reported in US, how many human cases will be confirmed in 2024?
Will an America die of H5N1 in 2024?
25% chance
Will the WHO declare an H5N1 pandemic before 2030?
45% chance
Will there be at least 10,000 worldwide cases of human infection by HPAI H5N1 before 2025?
17% chance
What will be the total number of H5N1 human cases reported by the CDC in the US at the end of 2024? [0-200]
What will be the CDC’s official mortality rate of H5N1 on January 1st, 2026?
Will someone die from or with H5N1 Bird Flu in America in 2024?
19% chance