Which extinct species will be brought back to life by 2037?
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Plus
36
Ṁ3734
2036
82%
Pyrenean ibex
80%
Mammoth
67%
Dire Wolf
63%
Thylacine (Tasmanian tiger)
60%
Passenger Pigeon
59%
Dodo
38%
Auroch
31%
Any of clade Dinosauria (dinosaurs)
29%
Steller's sea cow
5%
Any species extinct more than 65 million years ago

Add your own 🦊!

WHAT COUNTS:

Revived animal must be mostly healthy, be able to walk around and eat. If it's a hybrid with living species, it should also be fertile so that genetic similarity can be brought higher with future generations.

Efforts such as the Quagga Project that use selective breeding to produce animals similar in appearance but not based on original genetic material won't count for this question.

If it will turn out that an animal is not in fact extinct, that option will resolve N/A.

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Dire Wolf
bought Ṁ50 Dire Wolf NO

@BoydKane I think this probably shouldn't resolve yes (yet at least).

It appears that it's just a wolf with a couple aesthetic traits of dire wolves, rather than a meaningfully restored Dire Wolf. Feel free to check out the reporting on this (or this week's manifold newsletter, which will discuss this in detail).

The clade dimosauria by definition includes Aves, which the dodo, passenger pigeon are a part of. Very undervalued.

sold Ṁ4 Any of clade Dinosau... YES

That said the clade dimosauria is not extinct so maybe should go NA 😂

@nikstar Can you chime in on resolution criteria here?

@VanessaKosoy Looks like I can’t NA answers anymore so we’ll treat this one literally. Birds are dinosaurs so resurrecting any extinct bird will count as YES.

I wonder what @Naten8 meant originally :)

opened a Ṁ1,000 Any species extinct ... NO at 5% order

I've gone and added an option for anything extinct more than 65mya to account for what OP probably meant by dinosaur while allowing the non dinosaurs that people often confuse with them in too (pterosaurs, plesiosaurs, dimetrodon) because why not! It is at the cost of including uncharismatic lizards, small mammals and fish along with T-Rex.

The half-life of DNA makes it impossible as far as we know, but then again, my dinosaur books as a kid said we'd never know what colour they were, so anything is possible!

bought Ṁ10 Mammoth NO

mammoth genomes are already probably too degraded to work

@JonathanRay Haven't we done full-genome sequences for Neanderthals?