Who will be the next NASA administrator?
➕
Plus
34
Ṁ24k
resolved Dec 17
100%98.9%
Jared Isaacman
0.2%
Jim Bridenstine
0.0%
Bill Nelson (stays on for at least a year)
0.0%
Lori Garver
0.0%
Gwynne Shotwell
0.1%
John Culbertson
0.1%
Tory Bruno
0.1%
Kathy Lueders
0.1%
Bill Gerstenmaier
0.1%
Steven L. Kwast
0.2%
Sean Duffy
0.2%Other

  • Update 2025-01-01 (PST): - Resolution Criteria:

    • The market will remain open until confirmation of the next NASA administrator. (AI summary of creator comment)

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“The yeas are 67, the nays are 30, the nomination is confirmed”

I wonder if this market sets any records among real world question markets (as opposed to meta or joke markets) for its ~0->~100->~0->~100 graph. Certainly seems pretty unusual

@YaakovSaxon hopefully there are no more such cycles

wow I'm too good at this prediction thing

bought Ṁ500 Other YES

Steven L. Kwast, a retired Air Force lieutenant general, was named as the likely new nominee by two sources according to reporter Eric Berger. https://arstechnica.com/space/2025/05/trump-pulls-isaacman-nomination-for-space-source-nasa-is-fed/

Ok I guess I have no choice. Reopened. Go wild

So… I had inherently meant to keep this open until it went through but then forgot and didn’t think it mattered… should I reopen now? Or is that just a giveaway to whoever sees it open first?

💀💀💀

@JoshuaWilkes Looks like the holders of "Other" are going to do pretty well.

Reopening until confirmation. Though I do assume it’s not very much in doubt