Will universal basic income be introduced in the U.S. by 2030?
30
Ṁ1088
2031
22%
chance

The introduction of a universal basic income (UBI) in the United States by 2030 is plausible due to the potential displacement of jobs by artificial intelligence (AI) and automation. As AI technology continues to advance, it's expected that many jobs, particularly those involving routine tasks, could be automated. UBI, a system in which all citizens receive a regular, unconditional sum of money, could be a solution to this problem.

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Universal as in across the whole country, right? Not just one state?

@Joshua "Universal" is only in concept. In practice, implementing UBI in even one state would constitute as an introduction of UBI to the whole country. By implementing UBI in just one state, a precedent would be set up for other states to follow.

predicts NO

Okay, has to be statewide then? Can't be city or county level?

Also, what about Alaska's oil checks?

predicts YES

@Joshua Has to be at least Statewide. Alaska's oil checks through Alaska's Permanent Fund Dividend (PFD) does not count. While the PFD does share similarities with UBI, it cannot be classified as such since the oil checks are a) paid annually vs. monthly and b) does not cover wages for basic needs

Ok, so is it correct that these are your criteria for YES?:

  • Statewide

  • All citizens of the state must receive it regardless of need (aka if Texas did it, Elon Musk would have to be eligible)

  • Purpose is stated as being intended to cover basic needs

Does it actually need to be enough to cover basic needs in your judgment, or does that just need to be the stated purpose of the policy?