What will the Party distribution of the next 2 US presidential terms be? (2029-2037) [> 6k Liquidity]
➕
Plus
12
Ṁ8064
2033
26%
R-D
24%
D-R
23%
D-D
18%
R-R
3%
one or more Third Party terms
3%
Other
1.1%
Resolves to NO following Trump Reelection
1.1%
Resolves to NO following Trump Reelection
1%
Resolves to NO following Trump Reelection

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bought Ṁ50 Resolves to NO follo... NO

@traders I updated this market to fit with election results. Since it’s impossible to resolve the Harris win contigent options to NO, I changed their name.

sold Ṁ7 Resolves to NO follo... YES

@mods sorry to ping but I can’t figure out how to resolve the false options to NO, while keeping the market open for the other options rhat are still possible.

@Yann That is currently not possible with this market type (dependent multiple choice).

@jskf Oh.. Thanks for the heads up.

If a Republican is inaugurated in 2025, and then declares himself dictator for life and cancels elections, would that resolve R-R-R?

If the presidential “term” system still exists yes.

So if it is like russia and putin wins three terms in a row and it is still referred to as terms then it would resolve R-R-R.

But if they somehow change the constitution so that you can be “king for life” or whetver and the terminology doesn’t use “presidential terms”, ie. presidency ceases to exist, and resolves to “other”

.

bought Ṁ20 D-D NO

Do you count the same person serving two terms in a row as two presidencies? @Yann

Yes.

I’ll change the title.

bought Ṁ2 Resolves to NO follo... YES

Added 1k subsidy