This market gets more than 100 traders?

Ṁ250k

Jul 5

36%

chance

ALL

Resolves no if the number of holders is <= 100 traders and yes if otherwise, bounties are encouraged!

unrelated but this is my first 1000 liquidity market

Update 2025-06-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified that the market will resolve based on the number of traders, not holders.

Meta-markets Meta-Forecasting Predictions on Predictions Unranked

Get Ṁ1,000 play money

11 Comments

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bought Ṁ10 NO

Check out this one, too:

Don’t forget to bet on this one too!

/remedyrain/will-this-market-get-more-than-100-0ENLOlh0u8

bought Ṁ150 YES

Go viral

bought Ṁ1 YES

@IsaacLinn are you commenting for the bounty?

@ZandaZhu Yep

@IsaacLinn comment here https://manifold.markets/ZandaZhu/bounty-free-10-mana

bounty: free 10 mana

Bet any amount on the linked market, please comment after you have bet so I can reward mana https://manifold.markets/ZandaZhu/this-market-gets-more-than-100-trad?r=WmFuZGFaaHU

bought Ṁ2 NO

Holders or traders?

@4fa sorry that was a bit ambiguous, ill make it traders since that's what most other markets are doing

@ZandaZhu Is there an easy way to see the number of traders? Obviously I can dump the list of trades in to an editor and then somehow obtain a list of unique identities, but if I want to just scope out the current state on an ongoing basis, this gets annoying.

@BorisBartlog its on the top

for example, we're currently at 22 traders

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