Anthropic's Project Vend profitable by EOY 2025?
36
Ṁ3254
Dec 31
29%
chance

For more information, see: https://www.anthropic.com/research/project-vend-1

This resolves to YES if Project Vend turns a profit for a continuous period of at least 60 days of active operation prior to EOY 2025.

This resolves to NO if this does not happen.

If we cannot verify that this occurred by February 1 2026, this will default to NO, until then if unknown I will hold it open.

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It feels like a huge chunk of my uncertainty here, is really about whether or not Anthropic’s people keep on being interested and amused by red team attacks on it or not

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