This resolves to YES if at least 4 of the following markets resolve to YES.
It resolves to NO if 3 or fewer of these markets resolve to YES.
Only markets fully resolving to YES count - any other result does not count.
https://manifold.markets/ZviMowshowitz/soai1-a-major-retailer-reports-5-of
https://manifold.markets/ZviMowshowitz/soai2-a-major-ai-lab-leans-back-int
https://manifold.markets/ZviMowshowitz/soai3-openended-agents-make-a-meani
https://manifold.markets/ZviMowshowitz/soai4-a-deepfakeagentdriven-cyber-a
https://manifold.markets/ZviMowshowitz/soai5-a-realtime-generative-video-g
https://manifold.markets/ZviMowshowitz/soai6-ai-neutrality-emerges-as-a-fo
https://manifold.markets/ZviMowshowitz/soai7-a-movie-or-short-film-produce
https://manifold.markets/ZviMowshowitz/soai8-a-chinese-lab-overtakes-the-u
https://manifold.markets/ZviMowshowitz/soai9-datacenter-nimbyism-takes-the
https://manifold.markets/ZviMowshowitz/soai10-trump-issues-an-unconstituti
FYI you can get market links to appear in formatted form with the current probability displayed by typing % and then searching the title and selecting the market.
/ZviMowshowitz/soai1-a-major-retailer-reports-5-of
/ZviMowshowitz/soai2-a-major-ai-lab-leans-back-int
/ZviMowshowitz/soai3-openended-agents-make-a-meani
/ZviMowshowitz/soai4-a-deepfakeagentdriven-cyber-a
/ZviMowshowitz/soai5-a-realtime-generative-video-g
/ZviMowshowitz/soai6-ai-neutrality-emerges-as-a-fo
/ZviMowshowitz/soai7-a-movie-or-short-film-produce
/ZviMowshowitz/soai8-a-chinese-lab-overtakes-the-u
/ZviMowshowitz/soai9-datacenter-nimbyism-takes-the
/ZviMowshowitz/soai10-trump-issues-an-unconstituti