Will OpenAI employ more people on 8/1/26 than it does on 8/1/24?
47
Ṁ3481
2026
80%
chance

(This is in response to: https://twitter.com/therealkrantz/status/1818040960409911570)

Resolves to YES if this happens.

Resolves to NO if it does not.

I trust us to be able to tell the answer.

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"Today, OpenAI has more than 1,700 employees"

What if the answer looks to be "probably about the same, but no hard data"? I don't think they publish headcounts

If it would cost more to figure it out than it is worth and no one knows the answer I'll resolve to a percentage estimate I guess, but I really doubt that's the scenario.

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