Will humanoid robots be commonplace in the US, by 2040? ($1k mana subsidy)
33
Ṁ3111
2040
65%
chance

Commonplace is going to be a subjective measurement. It is more common than something rare. Upon seeing something commonplace, one does not seem very surprised to see that something's presence, usually. One tends to get used to a commonplace something as another aspect of life.

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Figure 01.

Humanoid robots make little sense from both engineering and economics perspective except for sex robots and few very quirky cases. So unless sex robots will be commonplace, this is IMHO unlikely to resolve YES.