International treaty limiting autonomous AI weapons before 2030?
Plus
12
Ṁ12102030
48%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Nuclear weapons don’t count. Signatory countries must total at least 20% of world gdp. I won’t bet on this market.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
A new international treaty on autonomous weapon systems by 2025-03-23?
38% chance
Will there be a military operation to slow down AI development by the end of 2030?
15% chance
Will there be a military operation to slow down AI development by the end of 2035?
32% chance
Will at least 25 nations collaborate to develop and enforce unified AI development standards internationally by 2035?
78% chance
Will a international AI watchdog body enter into force by May 30, 2027?
70% chance
Will the United States ban AI research by the end of 2037?
18% chance
[Metaculus] Will an International AI regulatory agency for oversight of transformative AI be established before 2030?
72% chance
Will we have a sufficient level of international coordination to ensure that AI is no longer threat before 2030?
22% chance
Will the US impose restrictions on training new advanced AIs before 2030?
14% chance
Will any country forbid the ownership of AI Agents recognized as legal persons by 2030?
19% chance