Who will be the next person to win an election to US House District 11, other than Nancy Pelosi?
🔮
Crystal
72
Ṁ110k
2029
54%
Scott Wiener
22%
Saikat Chakrabarti
13%
Other
8%
Christine Pelosi

Resolves to whoever is next elected to the office, other than Nancy Pelosi, regardless if they are ever seated. Includes special elections. Expires before the next redisticting cycle; will be resolved N/A if no one wins the seat other than Pelosi by market close time.

🇺🇸 US PoliticsSan Francisco118th CongressSF Politics
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Does prop 50 redistricting affect this market at all? The 11th district is (mostly?) unchanged, so I'd think no, but want to be sure.

@robm good question, it looks pretty unchanged to me: https://selc.senate.ca.gov/proposed-congressional-map (new) vs https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/California%27s_11th_congressional_district#/media/File:California's_11th_congressional_district_(since_2023)_(new_version).svg (current), so Prop 50 won't affect this market.


I'll interpret "expires before the next redisticting cycle" to mean "regular redistricting cycle, ie the one starting after the 2030 census"

Proposed Congressional Map | Senate Elections and Constitutional Amendments Committee

Surprised Shadid Buttar isn’t an option, he’s ran for

the seat a few times and did decent

bought Ṁ1 Other YES

https://sfstandard.com/2024/08/30/christine-pelosi-scott-wiener-shadow-campaign/

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