Will the sale of new gas cars be illegal in California in 2035?
20
Ṁ548
2036
38%
chance

Resolves YES if, at any point in 2035, it is illegal to sell a new gas car in the state of California.

Context: https://www.nytimes.com/2022/08/24/climate/california-gas-cars-emissions.html

Climate
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
3 Comments
Sort by:

This is specifically related to passenger vehicles? If sale of gasoline-powered long-haul trucks or bulldozers are legal, for example, this can still resolve YES?

Related markets:

This seems too optimistic.

I reckon they will charge fees or extra sales tax of some kind to highly discourage it, but not make it illegal, at least not within 13 years.

Related questions