[Derivative] Volatility of "9" option in "double it and pass it on" Ep. 2 over the next 24 hours?
4
Ṁ2194
resolved Oct 15

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Resolves to the standard deviation (in percentage, weighted by time) of the "9" option on this market: /Quroe/how-many-manifolders-will-double-it-d9q609ZP6R

Time starts at 11:00 AM PST October 14th 2025, and ends 11:00 AM PST, October 15th, 2025.

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@Quroe there is a python script here for calculating the SD over time: https://github.com/crthpl/stdmana

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According to my script, the standard deviation is 12.9%.

Would it be helpful if we got the current SD value over time so we laypeople can get the feel?

Or do you have a program that we can run ourselves?

@Quroe coming soon

@Quroe there is a python script here for calculating the SD over time: https://github.com/crthpl/stdmana

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