New York City will hold mayoral elections on 4 November 2025. Eric Adams won the 2021 mayoral election, and is eligible to run again in 2025, but appears likely to face a contested primary.
This question resolves YES to the named individual who wins NYC's mayoral election in 2025, and NO to everyone else.
Who will be elected mayor of New York City in 2025?
Feel free to add answers.
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It's really important to remember that the reason Adams is so unpopular isn't just because of his baffling scandals with Turkey or because he's a bad mayor or anything like that -- It's because he agreed to comply with the Trump admin's orders to get his case dropped. Any anti-trump sentiment in NYC is anti-Adams sentiment too! Any anti-Trump attack has an anti-Adams attack built in!
@Marnix people probably virtue signal in primaries. They’ll do it less in the general when they actually need to discuss good government—low crime, quality of life.
@CraigTalbert See, but challengers win against incumbents on a QoL argument - especially Mamdani, whose entire campaign has centered on QoL issues. Adams might be the "tough on crime" candidate, but I think he's shockingly weak on a crime argument, considering his corruption scandals - and even then, I don't think that crime's gonna be the big question in this race. I think we're looking at something far closer to a 2017-style "holding our government to account" question. Adams is in a big pit from being bailed out of his corruption trials by Trump, and I don't think all the money in the world can necessarily help him out of that hole.
@Marnix white collar crime and blue collar crime are very different politically. Everyone hates blue collar crime, for white collar crime outrage happens more on a case by case basis.
Mamdani is a savvy politician, but so far it feels like a Vibes/BRAT Kamala style thing—he’s promising a lot (buses, child care, grocery stores), but practically will still have to pay for it and survive interviews where he’s asked about how he will implement all of this. What will the implications be of taxing out people and corporations who could move?
I think even in NYC in 2025, people would like to have a Koch, Dinkins, 1994 Gulianni or a Bloomberg over a Mamdani.
Now, granted I’ve never lived in NYC and all of this comes from watching all seven seasons of Rescue Me, watching Conan religiously in high school (when so should have been sleeping) and eating several slices of fold-able pizza (though they were nearly all baked on Colorado)… and before I knew better I listened to Off The Hook on WBAI, and some adjacent shows. Oh and Howard Stern. So much Howard Stern. And I was a big fan of Type-O and the Beastie Boys.
… and a begrudging respect for Sex and the City.
Rescue Me, if you haven’t seen it, was beautiful because if you were gay or straight it was still basically softcore porn. It was also set in NYC.
I would bet bigger here, but it’s possible in this ménage à trois that Adams and Cuomo fuck each other rather than spitroasting Mamdani, but I think they work that out.
At the end of the day, I think NYC is still more Recuse Me than Mamdani and you will see as much in the general.
please, bill ackman, we're all counting on you. get 50 to run for mayor
@BBQDAD I'm not so sure. It's looking like the establishment dems have kind of given up, and are lining up behind Mamdani. I don't think a 2021 Buffalo mayoral election scenario is really feasible here - Adams is extremely unpopular, Mamdani is really good at messaging, Silwa is going to be splitting the "i hate commies" vote, and if they add anyone else it'll just split the vote even harder.
@nikki looks like bill ackman's all in on him, but I'm not sure that'll save him. https://nypost.com/2025/06/25/business/bill-ackman-to-back-nyc-mayor-eric-adams-reelection-bid-source/
@Marnix Ackman denied this report. Apparently he is looking into legal issues regarding someone else entering the race. https://x.com/billackman/status/1937975305643114806?s=46&t=EH8RY6pqThhG7HnB5qPjIA
@ChadCotty i was gonna say, it'd be really weird if his "big plan" that he "has to look into" was just a guy who was already running
Surprised that one of the biggest dogs in NY politics was just handed an underdog narrative, yet is only trading at 1%. The man has barely even campaigned yet. Seems to me like as big of a prediction market miss as early days of Zohran’s campaign, which was already proving to be excellent, yet Zohran was being awarded a measly 2 or so percent.
Eric Adams consorted with Trump. How on Earth is that a better pick for the establishment than Cuomo?
NY politics is unpredictable. A.O.C. won out of nowhere like Mamdani did. But the flip side is that in the last mayoral race, after the social media candidate (Andrew Yang) boasted early favorite status, the establishment came in strong for a (pre-corrupt) Eric Adams. Similar dynamics can easily repeat.