(Canada) Will the Liberals poll within 10 points of the Conservatives before next Federal Election?
Mini
9
แน2452025
37%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As determined by the aggregate poll on this page of Canada 338:
https://338canada.com/federal.htm
If at any point between now, and the election day (including election day), this page shows a 10-point or lower difference between the two parties, this market will resolve YES.
Currently:
Conservative: 42
Liberal: 24
Diff: 18
The next federal election is on or before Oct 20, 2025
Get แน1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will Justin Trudeau lead the Liberal Party in the next federal election in Canada?
41% chance
Will Justin Trudeau be the Liberal candidate in the next Canadian federal election?
42% chance
Will the NDP poll higher than the Liberals at any point before the next Canadian federal election?
53% chance
Will the Conservatives win at least 40% of the vote in Canada's next federal election?
80% chance
Will the Liberal Party form the next Canadian government?
14% chance
Will the Conservative Party of Canada form a Majority Government after the 45th Canadian Federal Election?
78% chance
Will the Liberal Party of Canada be the official opposition after the next Canadian election?
65% chance
Will the next federal Canadian election go to the liberals?
13% chance
Will the NDP lose seats in Canada's next federal election? (Oct 2025 or earlier)
61% chance
Will the U.K. Conservative Party lead in a national poll by the end of 2025?
33% chance