I'm a junior and a USA team member for IMO 2024. Will I qualify for IMO 2025? This resolves YES if and only if I receive an invitation: whether I accept it doesn't matter. I will try to answer any questions posted in the comments section. Copied from https://manifold.markets/hannah/will-i-make-imo-2025-ac12d0df0604.

Scores:

TSTST: 170 707 770
Dec TST: ???
Jan TST: ???

RMM day 1: ???
APMO: ?????
USAMO day 1: ???

USAMO day 2: ???