Will Artemis 3 not be delayed, and be successful?
Mini
9
Ṁ1013
2026
1.6%
chance

The Artemis 3 mission will be the first human landing on the Moon since the Apollo program. These kind of missions are frequently delayed, and the Starship HLS has to be built in time, but the Starship has not made it into orbit, let alone demonstrate in-orbit refuelling. So will the mission launch on time?

Will resolve yes if it launches before 2026, and the mission is successful.

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bought Ṁ2 YES

This is a bet on AGI. If America achieves aligned AGI by the end of the year, it should help humans get to space safely and on time.