Another politically motivated* assassination of a notable* English-speaking influencer within a year of Charlie Kirk's?
3
Ṁ125
2026
16%
chance

Will another influencer be killed in a politically motivated attack by Sept 10. 2026?


To be considered politically motivated, the police reports and/or the media consensus has to show that the person was murdered specifically due to their political views/influence.


Definition of a Notable influencer:

Any one of these for a personal account:

500k Youtube subscribers

100k Twitter/Bluesky/Instagram/Threads followers

1M Tiktok folllowers

OR

Notable (main or supporting host, appearing in most episodes) character in a mainstream or alternative media podcast/show/panel with:

1M Youtube subscribers and 100k+ views per episode

250k Twitter/Bluesky/Instagram/Threads followers

5M Tiktok folllowers

Persons with lower numbers may be considered if they are ubiquitously known, especially if they are clearly notable, but lack a popular social media presence due to being deplatformed and/or having amassed their following on alternative platforms (e.g. Nick Fuentes etc.). I will try to be as fair as possible.

I will not bet on this market due to the subjectivity of the definitions politically motivated and notable influencer

Get Ṁ1,000 play money