What's true about Charlie Kirk's shooter
469
Ṁ84k
Oct 10
99.6%
US citizen
99.6%
used a bolt action rifle
99.6%
White
99.3%
Skinny
99.2%
The shooter is alive when this market hits 100 traders
99.1%
Lives (or has lived) in Utah
99%
Did it on purpose
99%
has at least one sibling
99%
Male
99%
Resided in the same state as the incident
99%
Will the shooter of Charlie Kirk be apprehended alive by the end of September?
99%
The shooter killed Charlie Kirk
99%
Born in the United States
99%
Native English speaker (L1)
99%
20-27 years old
99%
ectomorph body type
99%
at least ten questions in this market resolve YES (excluding questions about other question's resolutions) (excluding N/A)
99%
Gamer
98.4%
had fired a weapon at least once in their life before shooting Charlie Kirk
97%
Is named Tyler Robinson

  • Update 2025-09-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - If it's ambiguous whether the shooter is male, this market will resolve to N/A.

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It's like some of y'all don't know about the Reichstag fire

bought Ṁ10 Answer #CpAppAySCy YES

It seems the shooter turned himself in via his father, telling his dad where he was after his dad said he would tell the fbi.

The shooter was a student for one semester at a university before going to technical college, does that count?

Obviously, Christianity looks down upon murder. That’s not to say “observant Christians” don’t kill people, but I also don’t think Tyler Robinson was trying to incite a holy war or something. Of course, he could be a nominal church member regardless of Christian identity.

@nonnihil Do you have reason to suspect this? Or is it just a hunch or something?

Do casings count as part of the bullets?

@AndrewHebb Unless specified otherwise, assume yes. You can't have a complete bullet without the casing.

@ac80 Everything I can find online suggests that this is incorrect and that the term "bullet" properly refers to something other than the cartridge case.

bought Ṁ10 Answer #LUL6LQnZ8s YES

@Lorelai Unbelievable. A young man who doesn’t share his parents’ politics.

bought Ṁ2 Answer #uALhLCUECC YES

Coming from a Utahn here. People seem to think everyone here is conservative. That's not true, we do have a (somewhat loud) minority of Democrat-leaning people, which obviously becomes a majority in the cities. I've seen people say he must be a Republican since he's in Utah, which seems misinformed. (Also, why would a Republican shoot Charlie). Just something to keep in mind (although I think most people already know that this makes sense)

@Mrdudeguy I'm pretty sure its practically confirmed he was registered as an independent.

https://www.reuters.com/world/us/who-is-tyler-robinson-suspect-charlie-kirks-murder-2025-09-12/

"He was a registered voter but was not affiliated with a political party, according to voter records. He is listed as an "inactive" voter, which indicates he did not cast a ballot in last year's presidential election, when Republican Donald Trump defeated Democrat Kamala Harris."

bought Ṁ54 Gamer YES

Helldiver reference (the arrows) on one of the bullet casings and tons of pictures of him as a kid from his mom's Facebook account where he's wearing Minecraft shirts. I think it's safe to resolve Gamer to Yes.

bought Ṁ20 Answer #CpAppAySCy YES

@256 I’m not entirely sure what this passage concretely describes but:

The suspect was taken into custody at about 11 p.m. on Thursday in Washington County, in southwestern Utah, after surrendering at a sheriff’s office, officials said.

“When our investigators got down there, they were able to peacefully make contact with him and move through that process of making the arrest,” Beau Mason, Utah’s public safety commissioner, said in an interview. “He was very compliant with that.”

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/09/12/us/tyler-robinson-charlie-kirk-shooting-suspect.html

@MachiNi they knocked him out with their rifle butts and then he was compliant through the remainder of the process

sold Ṁ104 Answer #Z0hggn585R NO

@Dulaman source?

@MachiNi

https://www.nytimes.com/live/2025/09/12/us/charlie-kirk-news-suspect/5c70bd58-986d-55a0-b4c7-5b3c51280863?smid=url-share

Beau Mason, Utah’s public safety commissioner, said the 22-year-old accused of Charlie Kirk’s killing surrendered to law enforcement officers at a sheriff’s office in southwest Utah. “When our investigators got down there, they were able to peacefully make contact with him and move through that process of making the arrest,” Mason said in an interview. “He was very compliant with that.” Mason added that the suspect’s family “did a great job of helping him come to a positive resolution to turn himself in.”

The police themselves are literally saying he surrendered and turned himself in.

https://x.com/DavidShuster/status/1966576856515203480

David Shuster is a fairly reliable resource here

I will award 500 mana to the first reputable non-Twitter article confirming this tweet (that he was a groyper), posted here.

@Gabrielle Then why would he have Bella Ciao song and "Hey fascist, catch!" on the casings? Is it all a false flag? I don't believe this unless some serious evidence comes up.

@ac80 Apparently both parts of groyper culture, with Bella being "reclaimed" and Catch being a Helldivers reference. I don't know a thing about it but that's the argument being made.

@Frogswap lol, this would be wild if true.

bought Ṁ27 Answer #dIuPphAdCt NO

@ac80 obviously to create animosity towards people who don't like fascism. Have you not heard about the Reichstag fire? Have you never picked up a history book?