2024-2025 NBA Playoffs First round prop bets
11
Ṁ810
May 31
83%
Damian Lillard plays at least 60 minutes
61%
Celtics have the best or second best net rating
61%
Lebron or Luka miss >20% of Laker's first round minutes
57%
Total point differential in any series is <10
55%
A player scores at least 55 points
55%
Warriors lose
50%
At least 3 upsets
50%
A team comes back from 2 games down to win the series
50%
OKC average point differential > 12
46%
A top 2 seed is upset
45%
Nuggets lose
45%
Jokic leads in PPG+APG
45%
SGA *or* Giannis lead in PPG
45%
Over 4.5 overtimes
44%
Lakers lose
41%
Kawhi plays at least 80% of all first round minutes for the Clippers
41%
3 or more sweeps (4-0 wins)
35%
Knicks-Pistons is decided in game 7
29%
Warriors lose in 6 games or less
14%
Bronny sighting (>10 minutes total played)
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My special contrarian prediction for the first round is Warriors are going to lose quite easily

bought Ṁ20 Answer #uZUSSslnUO NO

@dlin007 wanna define some terms for “easily”? Like, would you place odds on Warriors win 2 or fewer games? (Truly “easily” might be 1 or fewer but it’s tough, some 4-2s are ez and some are hard fought)

(I am basically getting caught up on the season now so have no real insight but I believe yours is indeed the contrarian position so I’d blindly take the mainstream one)

@Ziddletwix "expert predictions"

warriors are also ~60% favorites on oddschecker

my prediction is they lose in 6 games or less, and that my subjective judgement is they lost easily. bunch of ways to quantify that e.g point differential, time spent leading, prediction market odds trends etc