Which lab will claim that they have developed AGI first?
Which lab will claim that they have developed AGI first?
➕
Plus
15
Ṁ439
2028
46%
OpenAI
11%
Google DeepMind
7%
Anthropic
37%
Other (e.g. Inflection, xAI, Imbue, etc.)

I am primarily interested in which lab will have AGI first, but since the defintion of this term is so unclear, an interesting proxy is which lab first claims their system counts. I will probably not consider the claims of a very small start-up or research lab as "Other" unless there is broad consensus that their system is in fact very powerful and not merely overhyped. Any company with a valuation above $1B will automatically count as "Other".

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On one hand, I want to go with google deepmind because I think they'll be the first to actually have AGI but on the other hand, I think openAI is more likely to boast about having AGI even though they don't necessarily have it ... tough one

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