When will FOLDED end?
22
แน5462Aug 5
1D
1W
1M
ALL
1%
Day 16 or earlier (4 August 2025)
1.3%
Day 17 or earlier (5 August 2025)
3%
Day 18 or earlier (6 August 2025)
8%
Day 19 or earlier (7 August 2025)
5%
Day 20 or earlier (8 August 2025)
5%
Day 21 or earlier (9 August 2025)
5%
Day 22 or earlier (10 August 2025)
12%
Day 23 or earlier (11 August 2025)
16%
Day 24 or earlier (12 August 2025)
17%
Day 25 or earlier (13 August 2025)
24%
Day 26 or earlier (14 August 2025)
24%
Day 27 or earlier (15 August 2025)
24%
Day 28 or earlier (16 August 2025)
24%
Day 29 or earlier (17 August 2025)
24%
Day 30 or earlier (18 August 2025)
24%
Day 31 or earlier (19 August 2025)
27%
Day 32 or earlier (20 August 2025)
27%
Day 33 or earlier (21 August 2025)
27%
Day 34 or earlier (22 August 2025)
28%
Day 35 or earlier (23 August 2025)
When FOLDED ends, each option resolves YES if the final day of FOLDED (the last date more than one player advanced to without being eliminated) was on or before the listed date in UTC.
If FOLDED continues past the listed date, the option will resolve NO.
I will periodically add days to this market if the experiment continues for long enough.
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@evan Is the close date of this market the one you intend?
@Quroe I'll have it close at the end of every day of FOLDED, the notification will remind me to resolve these each day
@evan resolutions being late by a few days is less of an inconvenience than trading being down for a few minutes or hours imo.
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