Who will win the 2029 New York City Democratic mayoral primary?
17
แน€1198
2029
63%
Zohran Mamdani
13%
No one
4%
Brad Lander
4%
Andrew Yang
3%
Andrew Cuomo

Resolves to the candidate who wins the 2029 New York City Democratic mayoral primary. If no primary is held in 2029, resolves "No one."

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ US Politics๏ธ PoliticsElectionsNew York2029 New York City mayoral electionNew York City
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Other should be at 20%+

Shouldn't this be a dependent market?

@UnspecifiedPerson Yes, but independent markets have much better trader bonuses right now, so I've been making all of my recent markets using that market type

So if Mamdani runs unopposed and there's no primary, it resolves to "No one"?

@evan

@HenryRodgers Yes, although, I do think it's an unlikely scenario. Four people were on the primary ballot running against De Blasio in 2017, and I doubt Mamdani will get through 2029 without at least one Democratic candidate running against him.

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