Will the Alternative for Germany become the biggest party in the 2029 German Bundestag elections?
10
Ṁ921
2029
40%
chance

The AfD must get the biggest share of the votes/seats in the Bundestag in the next Bundestag election (currently scheduled for March 2029) for this bet to equate to True. CSU and CDU will be counted together as one party.

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opened a Ṁ5 YES at 17% order

@fedora You might want to change this to "in the next Bundestag election (currently scheduled for March 2029)", as the date might change and I suppose you just mean the next election.

Also please specify whether you'll count CDU/CSU combined or individually.