War declaration between Iran and Israel(or US)?
24
Ṁ1747Jul 13
3%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The market will be considered resolved as "YES" if either the US or Israel formally declares war against Iran, or if Iran formally declares war against Israel or US. Only official statements issued by the respective governments will qualify. Rhetorical comments or informal threats do not count.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Who will surrender first, Israel or Iran?
Who will surrender first, Israel or Iran?
Will there be a war between the US and Iran before January 2026?
12% chance
War-Powers Notice on Iran Before 31 Dec 2025? (“Declaration of War”)
22% chance
Will there be a war between Israel and Iran before January 2026?
14% chance
When will the US and Iran be at war? (unlinked, permanent)
Was Israel's attack on Iran justified?
POLL
Who will surrender first, Israel or Iran?