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GPT-5 score on GPQA Diamond?
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Dec 31

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o3 gets 83.3, o4-mini gets 81.4

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Will GPT-5 exceed 70% on WebArena?
82% chance
GPT-5 score on Aider polyglot?
-
Will GPT-5 ace exams?
76% chance
Will GPT-5 score at least 100 in an IQ test?
89% chance
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Will GPT-5 score higher than 1350 on the Lmsys Arena Leaderboard
95% chance
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