Will DeepMind researchers win a Fields Medal before 2030? | Manifold

Will DeepMind researchers win a Fields Medal before 2030?

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2029

21%

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This market is intended to measure the probability of a major breakthrough in mathematics with AI by DeepMind researchers.

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Even if some Fields-medal-worthy mathematics comes out of DeepMind in the near future, it is still unlikely that the researchers will receive the Fields medal, given the rules of who it is given to (mathematicians under the age of 40, 2-4 individuals every four years).

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+12% 1d30% chance

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