
First confirmed human-to-human H5N1 transmission by February 1st 2025
Plus
71
Ṁ28kresolved Feb 1
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
Currently no confirmed human-to-human transmission. Resolves YES if WHO or CDC confirms first case of human-to-human H5N1 transmission anywhere globally by February 1, 2025. Resolution source: WHO/CDC official announcements.
Next deadline: /ian/first-confirmed-humantohuman-h5n1-t-zZnInOSz5g
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ2,012 | |
| 2 | Ṁ758 | |
| 3 | Ṁ371 | |
| 4 | Ṁ300 | |
| 5 | Ṁ242 |
Sort by:
bought Ṁ1,000 NO from 20% to 10%
Related questions
Related questions
How many H5N1 bird flu human cases will be confirmed in the US in 2025?
H5N1 virus acquires human-to-human easy transmission capability by June 1st, 2027
20% chance
Will there be documented human-to-human transmission of H5N1 (bird flu) before 2026?
2% chance
Will there be more than 1,000 confirmed human cases of H5N1 bird flu in the US by the end of 2025?
3% chance
If H5N1 pandemic occurs by 2026, what will be the confirmed case fatality rate for humans in first 3 months?
Will there be at least 100,000 confirmed human cases of H5N1 in the US in 2025?
2% chance
Will there be at least 1000 confirmed human cases of H5N1 in the US in 2025?
5% chance
Will there be at least 10,000 confirmed human cases of H5N1 in the US in 2025?
5% chance
Will there be 500 or more human cases of H5N1 in the US by the end of 2025?
10% chance
How many human cases of H5N1 in the US will there be by the end of 2025?