China and USA form an AI coalition by EOY 2028
Plus
9
Ṁ52712028
12%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if China and the USA either join forces in the race to ASI or form an agreement that whoever is first to achieve ASI will share the resulting prosperity with the other.
Resolves NO if no such agreement is formed before end-of-year 2028.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
By 2027, will there be a US-China bilateral AI agreement, negotiated partly by an AI mediator?
5% chance
Will AI be a bigger political issue than China by the end of 2028?
44% chance
Will the US create an antitrust safe harbor for AI safety & security collaboration by 2028?
41% chance
Will the US ban AI models produced in China in 2025?
12% chance
By 2028, which country other than USA/China will be most important to AI?
Will the Chinese government announce a equivalent AI project to Stargate in 2025
33% chance
By 2030 will China have reached AI flops/$ parity with the US?
37% chance
Will the US regulate AI development by end of 2025?
15% chance
Will China nerf its AI industry before the US does?
74% chance
Will the US fund defensive information security R&D for limiting unintended proliferation of dangerous AI models by 2028
43% chance