MANIFOLD
BrowseUS ElectionNewsAbout
Will a referendum on leaving the EU be announced before the next House (Tweede Kamer) elections in the Netherlands?
Mini
8
Ṁ1095
2027
1%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL

Inspired by

NederlandThe Netherlands2023 Dutch Tweede Kamer Election
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
2 Comments
Sort by:
predicts YES

Article arguing far right parties don't want to leave the EU

https://foreignpolicy.com/2023/11/28/geert-wilders-netherlands-europe-eu/

predicts NO

Some relevant discussion here: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/375/major-state-exits-eu-before-2027/

Related questions

If the Netherlands has a referendum on leaving the EU, will it favor leaving?
12% chance
Who will be the next Dutch prime minister?
Will the Netherlands formally withdraw from the EU before 2030?
2% chance
How long will the next Dutch cabinet formation take?
Will Norway announce a referendum about joining EU during Trumps Second Term (2025–2029)?
26% chance
Which party will be the biggest in the Dutch parliament elections of 2025.
[Metaculus] Will Norway announce a referendum about EU accession before the next parliamentary election in Sept. 2025?
16% chance
What Will Happen: Dutch Elections 2025
Will the Dutch cabinet fall in 2027?
23% chance
Will the Dutch cabinet fall in 2026?
14% chance

Related questions

If the Netherlands has a referendum on leaving the EU, will it favor leaving?
12% chance
Which party will be the biggest in the Dutch parliament elections of 2025.
Who will be the next Dutch prime minister?
[Metaculus] Will Norway announce a referendum about EU accession before the next parliamentary election in Sept. 2025?
16% chance
Will the Netherlands formally withdraw from the EU before 2030?
2% chance
What Will Happen: Dutch Elections 2025
How long will the next Dutch cabinet formation take?
Will the Dutch cabinet fall in 2027?
23% chance
Will Norway announce a referendum about joining EU during Trumps Second Term (2025–2029)?
26% chance
Will the Dutch cabinet fall in 2026?
14% chance
BrowseElectionNewsAbout