Major shift being defined as a +20% 5 year survival rate for all cancers. For example all cancers had a jump of 17% survival from 1970 to 2007. Will we have a similar jump or greater jump by 2030?
Update 2025-11-17 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Market close date will be extended to 2035 (instead of 2029)
Market may resolve before 2035 if there is clear signal of the 20% increase
Creator will add information about the data source to be used for resolution
past 5 year cancer survival rates on Jan 1 2030 would imply that even if some major medical advancement happened in say 2027-28, then those survivors would not be counted in Jan 2030, right?
do you want to extend the market to 2032-35 perhaps @kamn?
@Hakari Good point. I will extend the market until 2035 but if there is signal of the 20% before then. I will realize I don't have a good source to use either so I am going to add that to the description